Pulido Velázquez, DavidGarrote, L.Andreu Álvarez, JoaquínMartín-Carrasco, F. J.Iglesias, A.2015-01-272015-01-272011-07-210022-1694https://riunet.upv.es/handle/10251/46434A methodology to analyze impact, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in conjunctive-use systems at basin scale is presented. Based on the value obtained for various indices under possible future scenarios (indices obtained from the results of a system management model), a systematic procedure is presented to identify problems and solutions to adapt to climate change effects. The future hydrological scenarios to be analyzed can be approached by starting from the historical series available for the system and taking into account the changes expected in the key statistics of the series. A method to predict the expected changes in the key statistics using the results of previous climate change studies in the area has been developed. A " downscaling" procedure is proposed to translate the climatic variations into results on a basin scale. The methodology has been applied to the case study of the Serpis River Basin (Eastern Spain). © 2011 Elsevier B.V.Reserva de todos los derechosClimate changeConjunctive useManagement simulation modelsRiver basinsWater planningAdaptive strategyBasin scaleClimatic variationDown-scalingHydrological scenariosPossible futuresSystem managementClimate modelsComputer simulationWatershedsBasin managementClimate variationIdentification keyIdentification methodNumerical modelRiver basinVulnerabilitySpainINGENIERIA HIDRAULICAArtículo10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.05.014Cerrado