[EN] Large dams are critical infrastructures whose failure could produce high economic and social consequences. Risk analysis has been shown to be a suitable methodology to assess these risks and to inform dam safety ...

This paper addresses the use of reliability techniques such as Rosenblueth¿s Point-Estimate Method (PEM) as a practical alternative to more precise Monte Carlo approaches to get estimates of the mean and variance of ...

Las metodologías de análisis de riesgos precisan cuantificar el riesgo, lo que en general implica estimar, para un determinado estado inicial del sistema presa-embalse, y para los diversos modos de fallo, tanto la probabilidad ...

[EN] This paper presents a simple tool for the assessment of maximum overtopping probabilities of dams. The tool is based on empirical relations between the overtopping probability and the basic hydrological and hydraulic ...

El riesgo de inundación ha sido objeto de estudio desde hace décadas. No obstante, la complejidad del análisis a escala local requiere del desarrollo de metodologías específicas para el análisis del riesgo de inundación ...

[EN] Risk analysis can provide very suitable and useful information to manage the safety of critical civil infrastructures. Indeed, results of quantitative risk models can be used to inform prioritisation of safety investments ...

[EN] In Spain the safety of dams is currently regulated by classical deterministic methods based on the verification of safety factors, or at most, pseudo-probabilistic methods when loads have some random component. For ...