- -

A Short-Term Population Model of the Suicide Risk: The Case of Spain

RiuNet: Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad Politécnica de Valencia

Compartir/Enviar a

Citas

Estadísticas

  • Estadisticas de Uso

A Short-Term Population Model of the Suicide Risk: The Case of Spain

Mostrar el registro sencillo del ítem

Ficheros en el ítem

dc.contributor.author De la Poza, Elena es_ES
dc.contributor.author Jódar Sánchez, Lucas Antonio es_ES
dc.date.accessioned 2019-07-10T20:02:18Z
dc.date.available 2019-07-10T20:02:18Z
dc.date.issued 2018 es_ES
dc.identifier.issn 0165-005X es_ES
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10251/123459
dc.description.abstract [EN] A relevant proportion of deaths by suicide have been attributed to other causes that produce the number of suicides remains hidden. The existence of a hidden number of cases is explained by the nature of the problem. Problems like this involve violence, and produce fear and social shame in victims' families. The existence of violence, fear and social shame experienced by victims favours a considerable number of suicides, identified as accidents or natural deaths. This paper proposes a short time discrete compartmental mathematical model to measure the suicidal risk for the case of Spain. The compartment model classifies and quantifies the amount of the Spanish population within the age intervals (16, 78) by their degree of suicide risk and their changes over time. Intercompartmental transits are due to the combination of quantitative and qualitative factors. Results are computed and simulations are performed to analyze the sensitivity of the model under uncertain coefficients. es_ES
dc.language Inglés es_ES
dc.publisher Springer-Verlag es_ES
dc.relation.ispartof Culture Medicine and Psychiatry es_ES
dc.rights Reserva de todos los derechos es_ES
dc.subject Suicide risk es_ES
dc.subject Compartment model es_ES
dc.subject Spain es_ES
dc.subject Economic stress es_ES
dc.subject Depression es_ES
dc.subject Drug abuse es_ES
dc.subject.classification MATEMATICA APLICADA es_ES
dc.subject.classification ECONOMIA FINANCIERA Y CONTABILIDAD es_ES
dc.title A Short-Term Population Model of the Suicide Risk: The Case of Spain es_ES
dc.type Artículo es_ES
dc.identifier.doi 10.1007/s11013-018-9589-4 es_ES
dc.rights.accessRights Cerrado es_ES
dc.contributor.affiliation Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Matemática Aplicada - Departament de Matemàtica Aplicada es_ES
dc.contributor.affiliation Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Economía y Ciencias Sociales - Departament d'Economia i Ciències Socials es_ES
dc.description.bibliographicCitation De La Poza, E.; Jódar Sánchez, LA. (2018). A Short-Term Population Model of the Suicide Risk: The Case of Spain. Culture Medicine and Psychiatry. 42(4):800-820. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11013-018-9589-4 es_ES
dc.description.accrualMethod S es_ES
dc.relation.publisherversion https://doi.org/10.1007/s11013-018-9589-4 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpinicio 800 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpfin 820 es_ES
dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion es_ES
dc.description.volume 42 es_ES
dc.description.issue 4 es_ES
dc.identifier.pmid 29948433
dc.relation.pasarela S\364159 es_ES
dc.description.references Albrecht, J. S., Kiptanui, Z., Tsang, Y., Khokhar, B., Liu, X., Simoni-Wastila, L., & Zuckerman, I. H. (2015). Depression Among Older Adults After Traumatic Brain Injury: A National Analysis. The American Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry, 23(6), 607–614. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jagp.2014.07.006 es_ES
dc.description.references Almagro Valverde, S., M.A. Dueñas Guzmán, and P. Tercedor Sánchez 2014 Actividad Física y Depresión: Revisión Sistemática. Revista Internacional de Medicina y Ciencias de La Actividad Física y El Deporte 14(54): 377–392. http://cdeporte.rediris.es/revista/revista54/artactividad472.htm es_ES
dc.description.references Álvarez, A. (1974). The Savage God: A study of suicide. London, United Kingdom: Weidenfeld and Nicholson. es_ES
dc.description.references Andrés, R. (2015). Semper dolens. Historia del suicidio en Occidente. Barcelona: Acantilado. es_ES
dc.description.references Bank of Spain (n.d.) Macroeconomic Projections for the Spanish Economy 2017-2020. https://www.bde.es/f/webbde/GAP/Secciones/SalaPrensa/NotasInformativas/Briefing_notes/en/Presentacion_Proyecciones_Diciembre_2017_en.pdf . es_ES
dc.description.references Barbagli, M. (2015). Farewell to the World: A history of Suicide. Bologna, Italy: Polity. es_ES
dc.description.references Beccaria, C. (1983). De los delitos y de las penas. Barcelona: Bruguera. es_ES
dc.description.references Browne, T. (2002). La religión de un médico y el enterramiento de las urnas. Madrid: Reino de Redonda. es_ES
dc.description.references Calvo-García, F., Giralt-Vázquez, C., Calvet-Roura, A., & Carbonells-Sánchez, X. (2016). Riesgo de suicidio en población sin hogar. Clinica y Salud, 27(2), 89–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clysa.2016.05.002 es_ES
dc.description.references Casas, M., & Guardia, J. (2002). Patología psiquiátrica asociada al alcoholismo. Santiago: Adicciones. es_ES
dc.description.references Chan, M.K.Y., Bhatti, H., Meader, N., Stockton, S., Evans, J., O'Connor, R.C., Kapur, N., & Kendall, T. (2016). Predicting suicide following self-harm: systematic review of risk factors and risk scales. Br J Psychiatry, 209, 277–283. es_ES
dc.description.references Chang, S. Sen, Stuckler, D., Yip, P., & Gunnell, D. (2013). Impact of 2008 global economic crisis on suicide: Time trend study in 54 countries. BMJ (Online). https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.f5239 es_ES
dc.description.references Christakis, N.A., and J.H. Fowler 2009 Connected: the Surprising Power of Our Social Networks and How They Shape Our Lives (Back Bay Books, Ed.). Boston, MA: Little Brown and Company. es_ES
dc.description.references De la Poza, E., Guadalajara, N., Jodar, L., & Merello, P. (2013). Modeling Spanish anxiolytic consumption: Economic, demographic and behavioral influences. Mathematical and Computer Modeling, 57(7–8), 1619–1624. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mcm.2011.10.020 es_ES
dc.description.references De la Poza, E., Jódar, L., & Barreda, S. (2016). Mathematical Modeling of Hidden Intimate Partner Violence in Spain: A Quantitative and Qualitative Approach. Abstract and Applied Analysis. https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/8372493 es_ES
dc.description.references De la Poza, E., Jódar, L., & Ramírez, L. (2017). Modelling bullying propagation in Spain: a quantitative and qualitative approach. Quality and Quantity, 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-017-0541-4 es_ES
dc.description.references De la Torre, M. 2013 Protocolo para la detección y atención inicial de la ideación suicida. https://www.uam.es/centros/psicologia/paginas/cpa/paginas/doc/documentacion/rincon/protocolo_ideacion_suicida.pdf . es_ES
dc.description.references Montesquieu, C.-L. de S. (1985). Del espíritu de las leyes. Madrid: Tecnos. es_ES
dc.description.references DeSteno, D. (2014). The Truth about Trust. New York, USA: Penguin. es_ES
dc.description.references Diderot, D. (1952). Vida de Séneca. Madrid: Espasa Calpe. es_ES
dc.description.references Diehl, E. (1954). Anthologia Lyrica Graeca, Fasc1: Poetae Elegiaci. Leipzig: Teubner. es_ES
dc.description.references dos Santos, J. P., Tavares, M., & Barros, P. P. (2016). More than just numbers: Suicide rates and the economic cycle in Portugal (1910-2013). SSM - Population Health, 2, 14–23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssmph.2015.11.004 es_ES
dc.description.references Durkheim, E. (1898). Le Suicide: Etude de sociologie. Psychological Review. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0069552 es_ES
dc.description.references Ehring, T., Ehlers, A., & Glucksman, E. (2006). Contribution of cognitive factors to the prediction of post-traumatic stress disorder, phobia and depression after motor vehicle accidents. Behaviour Research and Therapy, 44(12), 1699–1716. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.brat.2005.11.013 es_ES
dc.description.references Embriaco, N., Papazian, L., Kentish-Barnes, N., Pochard, F., & Azoulay, E. (2007). Burnout syndrome among critical care healthcare workers. Current Opinion in Critical Care, 13, 482–488. https://doi.org/10.1097/MCC.0b013e3282efd28a es_ES
dc.description.references Española, C.E. 2015 Conferencia Episcopal Española. http://www.conferenciaepiscopal.es/datos-generales-la-iglesia-espana/ . es_ES
dc.description.references Fischhoff, B., & Kadvany, J. (2011). Risk. A Very Short Introduction. Oxford: Oxford University Press. es_ES
dc.description.references Gea, A., Beunza, J. J., Estruch, R., Sánchez-Villegas, A., Salas-Salvadó, J., Buil-Cosiales, P., Gómez-Gracia, E., Covas, M.I., Corella, D., Fiol, M. and Arós, F. (2013). Alcohol intake, wine consumption and the development of depression: the PREDIMED study. BMC Medicine, 11, 192. https://doi.org/10.1186/1741-7015-11-192 es_ES
dc.description.references Girard, R. (2008). Mimesis and Theory: Essays on Literature and Criticism, 1953–2005. Palo Alto: Stanford University Press. es_ES
dc.description.references Godeluck, S. (2018). Les affections psychiques se multiplient dans les enterprises. Paris: Les Echos. es_ES
dc.description.references Goldthorpe, J. H. (2016). Sociology As a Population Science. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press. es_ES
dc.description.references Gorry, A., D. Gorry, and S. Slavov 2015 Does Retirement Improve Health and Life Satisfaction? NBER Working Paper. es_ES
dc.description.references Haas, A. P., Eliason, M., Mays, V. M., Mathy, R. M., Cochran, S. D., D’Augelli, A. R., Silverman, M.M., Fisher, P.W., Hughes, T., Rosario, M. and Russell, S.T. (2011). Suicide and Suicide Risk in Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, and Transgender Populations: Review and Recommendations. Journal of Homosexuality. https://doi.org/10.1080/00918369.2011.534038 es_ES
dc.description.references Haddad, W. M., Chellaboina, V., & Nersesov, S. G. (2002). Hybrid nonnegative and compartmental dynamical systems. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 8(6), 493–515. https://doi.org/10.1080/1024123021000066426 es_ES
dc.description.references Haw, C., & Hawton, K. (2008). Life problems and deliberate self-harm: Associations with gender, age, suicidal intent and psychiatric and personality disorder. Journal of Affective Disorders, 109(1–2), 139–148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2007.12.224 es_ES
dc.description.references Hawton, K., Casañas, I., Comabella, C., Haw, C., & Saunders, K. (2013). Risk factors for suicide in individuals with depression: A systematic review. Journal of Affective Disorders. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2013.01.004 es_ES
dc.description.references Hecht, J. M. (2015). Stay: A history of Suicide and the Arguments Against it. Grand Rapids, Michigan, United States: Yale University Press. es_ES
dc.description.references Hume, D. (1988). Sobre el suicidio y otros ensayos. Madrid: Alianza. es_ES
dc.description.references Jackson, P. R., & Warr, P. (1987). Mental health of unemployed men in different parts of England and Wales. British Medical Journal (Clinical Research Ed.), 295(6597), 525. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.295.6597.525 es_ES
dc.description.references Klinenberg, E. (2012). Going Solo: The Extraordinary Rise and Surprising Appeal of Living Alone. New York: Penguin Group. es_ES
dc.description.references Large, M., Kaneson, M., Myles, N., Myles, H., Gunaratne, P., Ryan, C. (2016). Meta-analysis of longitudinal cohort studies of suicide risk assessment among psychiatric patients: Heterogeneity in results and lack of improvement over time. PLoS ONE, 11(6), e0156322. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0156322 . es_ES
dc.description.references Lester, B. Y. (2001). Learnings from Durkheim and beyond: the economy and suicide. Suicide & Life-Threatening Behavior, 31(1), 15–31. https://doi.org/10.1521/suli.31.1.15.21306 es_ES
dc.description.references Lloyd, C., King, R., & Chenoweth, L. (2002). Social work, stress and burnout: A review. Journal of Mental Health. https://doi.org/10.1080/09638230020023642 es_ES
dc.description.references Lopez Bernal, J. A., Gasparrini, A., Artundo, C. M., & McKee, M. (2013). The effect of the late 2000s financial crisis on suicides in Spain: An interrupted time-series analysis. European Journal of Public Health, 23(5), 732–736. https://doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckt083 es_ES
dc.description.references López, D. J. (2016). ¿Todo por la patria? Madrid: Sotavento Editores Consultores. es_ES
dc.description.references Lundorff, M., Holmgren, H., Zachariae, R., Farver-Vestergaard, I., & O’Connor, M. (2017). Prevalence of prolonged grief disorder in adult bereavement: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Affective Disorders. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2017.01.030 es_ES
dc.description.references MacCluer, C. R. (2000). Industrial Mathematics, Modeling in Industry, Science and Government. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey, USA: Prentice-Hall. es_ES
dc.description.references Mcgreevey, W. (2013). Angus Deaton, The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality. Population and Development Review, 39(4), 717–721. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00638.x es_ES
dc.description.references Minois, G. (2001). History of Suicide Voluntary Death in Western Culture. Baltimore, MA: The Johns Hopkins University Press. es_ES
dc.description.references Miret, M., Caballero, F. F., Huerta-Ramírez, R., Moneta, M. V., Olaya, B., Chatterji, S., … Ayuso-Mateos, J. L. (2014). Factors associated with suicidal ideation and attempts in Spain for different age groups. Prevalence before and after the onset of the economic crisis. Journal of Affective Disorders, 163, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jad.2014.03.045 es_ES
dc.description.references Montero, R. 2017 May 14 Viejos de la mano. Madrid: El País Semanal. https://elpais.com/elpais/2017/05/14/eps/1494713148_149471.html . es_ES
dc.description.references Montesquieu 1751 The Spirit of Laws. Translated by Thomas Nugent. https://doi.org/10.2307/2593726 . es_ES
dc.description.references Ohberg, A., & Lonnqvist, J. (1998). Suicides hidden among undetermined deaths. Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, 98(3), 214–218. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0447.1998.tb10069.x es_ES
dc.description.references Ory, M. G., Smith, M. L., Mier, N., & Wernicke, M. M. (2010). The science of sustaining health behavior change: The health maintenance consortium. American Journal of Health Behavior. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biotechadv.2011.08.021.Secreted es_ES
dc.description.references Papastylianou, A., Kaila, M., & Polychronopoulos, M. (2009). Teachers’ burnout, depression, role ambiguity and conflict. Social Psychology of Education, 12(3), 295–314. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11218-008-9086-7 es_ES
dc.description.references Raafat, R. M., Chater, N., & Frith, C. (2009). Herding in humans. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 13(10), 420–428. es_ES
dc.description.references Rivera, B., Casal, B., & Currais, L. (2016). Crisis, suicide and labour productivity losses in Spain. European Journal of Health Economics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10198-015-0760-3 es_ES
dc.description.references Roca, M., Gili, M., Garcia-Campayo, J., & García-Toro, M. (2013). Economic crisis and mental health in Spain. Lancet, 382, 1977–8. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62650-1 es_ES
dc.description.references Rojas, E. (2016). Adios, depresión. Madrid: Temas de hoy. es_ES
dc.description.references Salgado, A. C. (2014). Revisión de estudios empíricos sobre el impacto de la religión, religiosidad y espiritualidad como factores protectores. Revista de Psicología Educativa de La USIL, 2(1), 121–140. https://doi.org/10.20511/pyr2014.v2n1.55 es_ES
dc.description.references Solomon, A. (2015). The Noonday Demon: An Atlas of Depression. New York: Scribner Classics. es_ES
dc.description.references Spanish Ministry of Education Culture and Sport 2015 Survey of Sporting Habits in Spain 2015. Technical General Secretariat. Madrid: Spanish Ministry of Health Social Policy and Equality. es_ES
dc.description.references Spanish Ministry of Health Social Policy and Equality (2014) Los perfiles de la discriminación en España. Madrid: Spanish Ministry of Health Social Policy and Equality. es_ES
dc.description.references Spanish Ministry of Health Social Policy and Equality 2015 Encuesta sobre alcohol y otras drogas en España, EDADES. http://www.pnsd.msssi.gob.es/profesionales/sistemasInformacion/sistemaInformacion/encuestas_EDADES.htm . es_ES
dc.description.references Spanish Ministry of Health Social Policy and Equality. 2017. Ministerio de Sanidad Base estatal de datos de personas con discapacidad, pp 1–16. Madrid: Spanish Ministry of Health Social Policy and Equality. es_ES
dc.description.references Spanish Statistics Institute 2015 www.ine.es . es_ES
dc.description.references Standing, G. (2011). The Precariat: The New Dangerous Class. London, United Kingdom: Bloomsbury Academic. es_ES
dc.description.references Stith, S. M., & Farley, S. C. (1993). A predictive model of male spousal violence. Journal of Family Violence, 8(2), 183–201. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00981767 es_ES
dc.description.references Sutherland, S. (2015). Irracionalidad: El mundo interior. Madrid: Alianza. es_ES
dc.description.references Swendsen, J., & Le Moal, M. (2011). Individual vulnerability to addiction. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1216(1), 73–85. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.2010.05894.x es_ES
dc.description.references Valladares, A., T. Dilla, and J.A. Sacristán 2009 La depresión: una hipoteca social. Últimos avances en el conocimiento del coste de la enfermedad (Spanish). Actas Españolas de Psiquiatría 37(1): 49–53. https://doi.org/200811101227 es_ES
dc.description.references Veblen, T. (2014). The Theory of the Leisure Class. Madrid: Alianza. es_ES
dc.description.references World Health Organization. (2013). Mental Health Action Plan 2013-2020. Geneva: WHO. es_ES


Este ítem aparece en la(s) siguiente(s) colección(ones)

Mostrar el registro sencillo del ítem