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Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin

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Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin

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dc.contributor.author LASTRADA MARCÉN, JOSÉ EDUARDO es_ES
dc.contributor.author Cobos Campos, Guillermo es_ES
dc.contributor.author Torrijo, F.J. es_ES
dc.date.accessioned 2020-05-22T03:02:23Z
dc.date.available 2020-05-22T03:02:23Z
dc.date.issued 2020-04-14 es_ES
dc.identifier.issn 2073-4441 es_ES
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10251/144082
dc.description.abstract [EN] Floods are one of the natural hazards that could be most affected by climate change, causing great economic damage and casualties in the world. On December 2019 in Reinosa (Cantabria, Spain), took place one of the worst floods in memory. Implementation of DIRECTIVE 2007/60/EC for the assessment and management of flood risks in Spain enabled the detection of this river basin with a potential significant flood risk via a preliminary flood risk assessment, and flood hazard and flood risk maps were developed. The main objective of this paper is to present a methodology to estimate climate change¿s effects on flood hazard and flood risk, with Reinosa as the case study. This river basin is affected by the snow phenomenon, even more sensitive to climate change. Using different climate models, regarding a scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions (RCP8.5), with daily temperature and precipitation data from years 2007¿2070, and comparing results in relative terms, flow rate and flood risk variation due to climate change are estimated. In the specific case of Reinosa, the MRI-CGCM3 model shows that climate change will cause a significant increase of potential affected inhabitants and economic damage due to flood risk. This evaluation enables us to define mitigation actions in terms of cost¿benefit analysis and prioritize the ones that should be included in flood risk management plans. es_ES
dc.language Inglés es_ES
dc.publisher MDPI AG es_ES
dc.relation.ispartof Water es_ES
dc.rights Reconocimiento (by) es_ES
dc.subject Climate model projections es_ES
dc.subject Flood risk es_ES
dc.subject Flood hazard es_ES
dc.subject Reinosa es_ES
dc.subject Climate change prioritization es_ES
dc.subject.classification INGENIERIA DEL TERRENO es_ES
dc.title Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin es_ES
dc.type Artículo es_ES
dc.identifier.doi 10.3390/w12041114 es_ES
dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/RTI2018-095302-B-I00/ES/LA ARQUITECTURA DE TIERRA EN LA PENINSULA IBERICA: ESTUDIO DE LOS RIESGOS NATURALES, SOCIALES Y ANTROPICOS Y ESTRATEGIAS DE INTERVENCION E INCREMENTO DE LA RESILIENCIA/
dc.rights.accessRights Abierto es_ES
dc.contributor.affiliation Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Ingeniería del Terreno - Departament d'Enginyeria del Terreny es_ES
dc.description.bibliographicCitation Lastrada Marcén, JE.; Cobos Campos, G.; Torrijo, F. (2020). Analysis of Climate Change s Effect on Flood Risk. Case Study of Reinosa in the Ebro River Basin. Water. 12(4):1-14. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12041114 es_ES
dc.description.accrualMethod S es_ES
dc.relation.publisherversion https://doi.org/10.3390/w12041114 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpinicio 1 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpfin 14 es_ES
dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion es_ES
dc.description.volume 12 es_ES
dc.description.issue 4 es_ES
dc.relation.pasarela S\407677 es_ES
dc.description.references Flood Risk Management: A Strategic Approach https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000220870 es_ES
dc.description.references Doroszkiewicz, J., Romanowicz, R., & Kiczko, A. (2018). The Influence of Flow Projection Errors on Flood Hazard Estimates in Future Climate Conditions. Water, 11(1), 49. doi:10.3390/w11010049 es_ES
dc.description.references Zhu, T., Lund, J. R., Jenkins, M. W., Marques, G. F., & Ritzema, R. S. (2007). Climate change, urbanization, and optimal long-term floodplain protection. Water Resources Research, 43(6). doi:10.1029/2004wr003516 es_ES
dc.description.references Nyaupane, N., Thakur, B., Kalra, A., & Ahmad, S. (2018). Evaluating Future Flood Scenarios Using CMIP5 Climate Projections. Water, 10(12), 1866. doi:10.3390/w10121866 es_ES
dc.description.references Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change https://archive.ipcc.ch/ es_ES
dc.description.references European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) https://www.efas.eu/en/news/summary-efas-notifications-2019 es_ES
dc.description.references Garijo, C., & Mediero, L. (2018). Influence of climate change on flood magnitude and seasonality in the Arga River catchment in Spain. Acta Geophysica, 66(4), 769-790. doi:10.1007/s11600-018-0143-0 es_ES
dc.description.references Garijo, C., Mediero, L., & Garrote, L. (2018). Utilidad de las proyecciones climáticas generadas por AEMET para estudios de impacto del cambio climático sobre avenidas a escala nacional. Ingeniería del agua, 22(3), 153. doi:10.4995/ia.2018.9312 es_ES
dc.description.references ASTER. Modelo Hidrológico De Simulación Y Previsión Aplicado A Cuencas Donde El Fenómeno Nival Es Relevante http://www.spesa.es/paginas/basededatos/ASTER_Manual_Usuario.pdf es_ES
dc.description.references Policy-Relevant Assessment of Socio-Economic Effects of Droughts and Floods, To Establish a Damage-Water Depth Relationship http://www.feem-project.net/preempt/ es_ES
dc.description.references Cobos, G., Francés, M., & Arenillas, M. (2010). Le programme ERHIN. Modélisation nivo-hydrologique pour la gestion de l’eau du bassin de l’Ebre. La Houille Blanche, (3), 58-64. doi:10.1051/lhb/2010035 es_ES
dc.description.references Anderson, E. A. (1968). Development and testing of snow pack energy balance equations. Water Resources Research, 4(1), 19-37. doi:10.1029/wr004i001p00019 es_ES
dc.subject.ods 13.- Tomar medidas urgentes para combatir el cambio climático y sus efectos es_ES
dc.subject.ods 11.- Conseguir que las ciudades y los asentamientos humanos sean inclusivos, seguros, resilientes y sostenibles es_ES


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