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Climate Change over the Mediterranean Region: Local Temperature and Precipitation Variations at Five Pilot Sites

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Climate Change over the Mediterranean Region: Local Temperature and Precipitation Variations at Five Pilot Sites

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dc.contributor.author Todaro, Valeria es_ES
dc.contributor.author D'Oria, Marco es_ES
dc.contributor.author Secci, Daniele es_ES
dc.contributor.author Zanini, Andrea es_ES
dc.contributor.author Tanda, Maria Giovanna es_ES
dc.date.accessioned 2024-03-08T11:18:15Z
dc.date.available 2024-03-08T11:18:15Z
dc.date.issued 2022-08 es_ES
dc.identifier.issn 2073-4441 es_ES
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10251/202989
dc.description.abstract [EN] The Mediterranean region is one of the most responsive areas to climate change and was identified as a major "hot-spot" based on global climate change analyses. This study provides insight into local climate changes in the Mediterranean region under the scope of the InTheMED project, which is part of the PRIMA programme. Precipitation and temperature were analyzed in an historical period and until the end of this century for five pilot sites, located between the two shores of the Mediterranean region. We used an ensemble of 17 Regional Climate Models, developed in the framework of the EURO-CORDEX initiative, under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Over the historical period, the temperature presents upward trends, which are statistically significant for some sites, while precipitation does not show significant tendencies. These trends will be maintained in the future as predicted by the climate models projections: all models indicate a progressive and robust warming in all study areas and moderate change in total annual precipitation, but some seasonal variations are identified. Future changes in droughts events over the Mediterranean region were studied considering the maximum duration of the heat waves, their peak temperature, and the number of consecutive dry days. All pilot sites are expected to increase the maximum duration of heat waves and their peak temperature. Furthermore, the maximum number of consecutive dry days is expected to increase for most of the study areas. es_ES
dc.description.sponsorship This paper is supported by the PRIMA programme under grant agreement No. 1923, project Innovative and Sustainable Groundwater Management in the Mediterranean (InTheMED). The PRIMA programme is supported by the European Union. es_ES
dc.language Inglés es_ES
dc.publisher MDPI AG es_ES
dc.relation.ispartof Water es_ES
dc.rights Reconocimiento (by) es_ES
dc.subject Climate change es_ES
dc.subject Regional climate model projections es_ES
dc.subject Mediterranean region es_ES
dc.subject Heat waves es_ES
dc.subject Consecutive dry days es_ES
dc.title Climate Change over the Mediterranean Region: Local Temperature and Precipitation Variations at Five Pilot Sites es_ES
dc.type Artículo es_ES
dc.identifier.doi 10.3390/w14162499 es_ES
dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC//1923/ es_ES
dc.rights.accessRights Abierto es_ES
dc.description.bibliographicCitation Todaro, V.; D'oria, M.; Secci, D.; Zanini, A.; Tanda, MG. (2022). Climate Change over the Mediterranean Region: Local Temperature and Precipitation Variations at Five Pilot Sites. Water. 14(16). https://doi.org/10.3390/w14162499 es_ES
dc.description.accrualMethod S es_ES
dc.relation.publisherversion https://doi.org/10.3390/w14162499 es_ES
dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion es_ES
dc.description.volume 14 es_ES
dc.description.issue 16 es_ES
dc.relation.pasarela S\493095 es_ES
dc.contributor.funder European Commission es_ES


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