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A new wildland fire danger index for a Mediterranean region and some validation aspects

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A new wildland fire danger index for a Mediterranean region and some validation aspects

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dc.contributor.author Vicente López, Francisco Javier de es_ES
dc.contributor.author Crespo Abril, Fortunato es_ES
dc.date.accessioned 2014-03-26T07:54:43Z
dc.date.issued 2012-08-10
dc.identifier.issn 1049-8001
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10251/36654
dc.description.abstract Wildland fires are the main cause of tree mortality in Mediterranean Europe and a major threat to Spanish forests. This paper focuses on the design and validation of a new wildland fire index especially adapted to a Mediterranean Spanish region. The index considers ignition and spread danger components. Indicators of natural and human ignition agents, historical occurrence, fuel conditions and fire spread make up the hierarchical structure of the index. Multi-criteria methods were used to incorporate experts¿ opinion in the process of weighting the indicators and to carry out the aggregation of components into the final index, which is used to map the probability of daily fire occurrence on a 0.5-km grid. Generalised estimating equation models, which account for possible correlated responses, were used to validate the index, accommodating its values onto a larger scale because historical records of daily fire occurrence, which constitute the dependent variable, are referred to cells on a 10-km grid. Validation results showed good index performance, good fit of the logistic model and acceptable discrimination power. Therefore, the index will improve the ability of fire prevention services in daily allocation of resources. es_ES
dc.description.sponsorship The authors acknowledge the support received from the Ministry of Science and Innovation through the research project Modelling and Optimisation Techniques for a Sustainable Development, Ref. EC02008-05895-C02-01/ECON. en_EN
dc.language Inglés es_ES
dc.publisher CSIRO Publishing es_ES
dc.relation.ispartof International Journal of Wildland Fire es_ES
dc.rights Reserva de todos los derechos es_ES
dc.subject Fire risk es_ES
dc.subject Generalised estimating equations es_ES
dc.subject Ignition occurrence es_ES
dc.subject Logistic regression es_ES
dc.subject Odds ratio es_ES
dc.subject.classification ESTADISTICA E INVESTIGACION OPERATIVA es_ES
dc.subject.classification INGENIERIA AGROFORESTAL es_ES
dc.title A new wildland fire danger index for a Mediterranean region and some validation aspects es_ES
dc.type Artículo es_ES
dc.embargo.lift 10000-01-01
dc.embargo.terms forever es_ES
dc.identifier.doi 10.1071/WF11046
dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MICINN//ECO2008-05895-C02-01/ES/MODELOS Y TECNICAS MULTIOBJECTIVO PARA UN DESARROLLO SOSTENIBLE/ es_ES
dc.rights.accessRights Abierto es_ES
dc.contributor.affiliation Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa Aplicadas y Calidad - Departament d'Estadística i Investigació Operativa Aplicades i Qualitat es_ES
dc.contributor.affiliation Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Ingeniería Rural y Agroalimentaria - Departament d'Enginyeria Rural i Agroalimentària es_ES
dc.description.bibliographicCitation Vicente López, FJD.; Crespo Abril, F. (2012). A new wildland fire danger index for a Mediterranean region and some validation aspects. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 21(8):1030-1041. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF11046 es_ES
dc.description.accrualMethod S es_ES
dc.relation.publisherversion http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF11046 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpinicio 1030 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpfin 1041 es_ES
dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion es_ES
dc.description.volume 21 es_ES
dc.description.issue 8 es_ES
dc.relation.senia 232492
dc.contributor.funder Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación es_ES
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