Pulido Velázquez, D.; Garrote, L.; Andreu Álvarez, J.; Martín-Carrasco, FJ.; Iglesias, A. (2011). A methodology to diagnose the effect of climate change and to identify adaptive strategies to reduce its impacts in conjunctive-use systems at basin scale. Journal of Hydrology. 405(1-2):110-122. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.05.014
Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem: http://hdl.handle.net/10251/46434
Título:
|
A methodology to diagnose the effect of climate change and to identify adaptive strategies to reduce its impacts in conjunctive-use systems at basin scale
|
Autor:
|
Pulido Velázquez, David
Garrote, L.
Andreu Álvarez, Joaquín
Martín-Carrasco, F. J.
Iglesias, A.
|
Entidad UPV:
|
Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Ingeniería Hidráulica y Medio Ambiente - Departament d'Enginyeria Hidràulica i Medi Ambient
|
Fecha difusión:
|
|
Resumen:
|
A methodology to analyze impact, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in conjunctive-use systems at basin scale is presented. Based on the value obtained for various indices under possible future scenarios (indices ...[+]
A methodology to analyze impact, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change in conjunctive-use systems at basin scale is presented. Based on the value obtained for various indices under possible future scenarios (indices obtained from the results of a system management model), a systematic procedure is presented to identify problems and solutions to adapt to climate change effects. The future hydrological scenarios to be analyzed can be approached by starting from the historical series available for the system and taking into account the changes expected in the key statistics of the series. A method to predict the expected changes in the key statistics using the results of previous climate change studies in the area has been developed. A " downscaling" procedure is proposed to translate the climatic variations into results on a basin scale. The methodology has been applied to the case study of the Serpis River Basin (Eastern Spain). © 2011 Elsevier B.V.
[-]
|
Palabras clave:
|
Climate change
,
Conjunctive use
,
Management simulation models
,
River basins
,
Water planning
,
Adaptive strategy
,
Basin scale
,
Climatic variation
,
Down-scaling
,
Hydrological scenarios
,
Possible futures
,
System management
,
Climate models
,
Computer simulation
,
Watersheds
,
Basin management
,
Climate variation
,
Identification key
,
Identification method
,
Numerical model
,
River basin
,
Vulnerability
,
Spain
|
Derechos de uso:
|
Cerrado |
Fuente:
|
Journal of Hydrology. (issn:
0022-1694
)
|
DOI:
|
10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.05.014
|
Editorial:
|
Elsevier
|
Versión del editor:
|
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.05.014
|
Código del Proyecto:
|
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP5/EVK2-CT-2001-00132/EU/Prediction of regional scenarios and uncertainties for defining european climate change risks and effects/PRUDENCE/
|
Agradecimientos:
|
The authors thank the three anonymous reviewers for their comments, which have helped to improve significantly the clarity of the original manuscript. This research has been supported by the European Commission CIRCE ...[+]
The authors thank the three anonymous reviewers for their comments, which have helped to improve significantly the clarity of the original manuscript. This research has been supported by the European Commission CIRCE project, the SAWARES project (GESHYDRO + HYDROECOCUMATE) of the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation and the ARCO project of the Spanish Ministry of Environment, Rural, and Marine Affairs (MARM). We also thanks the Prudence Project, because we have employed some public data of this project, which are available at their web page (in the PRUDENCE data archive funded by the EU through contract EVK2-CT2001-00132).
[-]
|
Tipo:
|
Artículo
|