Resumen:
|
Consulta en la Biblioteca ETSI Industriales (Riunet)
[EN] This thesis has investigated the possibility of using photovoltaics together with heat
pumps to generate heat in Danish district heating plants. An economic study has
been carried out in order to assess the feasibility ...[+]
[EN] This thesis has investigated the possibility of using photovoltaics together with heat
pumps to generate heat in Danish district heating plants. An economic study has
been carried out in order to assess the feasibility of replacing some current solar
heating plants by the plants using PV panels and heat pumps.
For that, a literature review has been done rst, where optimistic arguments in favor
of the new technology have been found but large-scale projects using the proposed
technology have not been discovered. A state of the art chapter has been dedicated
to give an overview of the European and Danish heating sector, solar heating technology
and technologies to be used in the new PV-HP system. Heat storage has been
demonstrated to be a crucial technology when using solar energy to produce heat.
Three solar heating plants have been selected due to their representative solar
fraction: S by (7%), Gr asten (28%) and Dronninlund (50%). In order to replace
them, three new PV-HP plants have been designed. Ammonia heat pumps operate
with an assumed constant COP of 4 powered by the PV panels. The PV subsystem
has been designed using the software PVsyst.
Afterwards, heat demand and heat production pro les have been calculated for
each plant and used as input in an Excel model that has been built to control the
storage situation throughout the year. With this model, it has been possible to
identify overproduction in the solar heating system or electricity surplus in the PVHP
system. This electricity surplus from the PV-HP system will be sold to the
electricity market. Dronninglund and Gr asten have presented overproduction in the
solar thermal system and also electricity surplus in the PV-HP system. Contrarily,
S by has not presented neither overproduction in the solar collectors nor electricity
surplus in the PV-HP system.
The last chapter has economically compared the current solar heating systems
and the newly designed PV-HP systems. An introduction to the theory behind the
economic analysis and the studied economic parameters is followed by the creation
of the economic Excel model. The results have been presented, showing that Dronninglund
and S by have obtained pro tability for both the solar thermal system and
the PV-HP system. Moreover, S by has been the most pro table solar heating plant due to the lack of overproduction. Regarding the PV-HP system, Dronninglund has
had slightly better results than the other plants, just having a higher LCOE than
S by, which happens again due to the overproduction. However, Gr asten has just
obtained pro tability in the solar heating system, since the PV-HP project has resulted
unfeasible. The main reason is the low heat price in Gr asten, which is around
30% lower than the heat price in Dronninglund or S by. Note that for the three
studied cases, economic results have been better for the solar heating plant. Finally,
a sensitivity analysis on the economic results (NPV) of Gr asten's PV-HP system has
been carried out, varying several key inputs of the economic model. The parameters
a ecting the most the economic results have been: the COP of the heat pumps during
operation, the discount rate, the investment costs and the heat price. Nevertheless,
when considering the changes of these parameters also in the solar heating plant, the
COP and investment costs become the main way for the PV-HP plant to become
competitive. This is because an increase in the heat price or the discount rate would
a ect the feasibility of both the solar heating plant and the PV-HP plant at a similar
level.
In conclusion the PV-HP system is not competitive against solar heating in Danish
district heating plants, since the latest is the cheapest option to generate heat. Some
changes would be needed for PV-HP to reach the same pro tability as solar collectors'
plants. Changes in the aforementioned parameters, as well as other possibilities such
as subsidies for heat pumps would enhance the competitiveness of the PV-HP system
in the future.
[-]
|