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Climate change impacts on discharges of the Rhone River in Lyon by the end of the twenty-first century: model results and implications

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Climate change impacts on discharges of the Rhone River in Lyon by the end of the twenty-first century: model results and implications

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dc.contributor.author Ruiz-Villanueva, Virginia es_ES
dc.contributor.author Stoffel, M. es_ES
dc.contributor.author Bussi, Gianbattista es_ES
dc.contributor.author Francés, F. es_ES
dc.contributor.author Bréthaut, Christian es_ES
dc.date.accessioned 2017-03-27T11:28:08Z
dc.date.available 2017-03-27T11:28:08Z
dc.date.issued 2015
dc.identifier.issn 1436-3798
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10251/79101
dc.description.abstract We assess possible modifications in the hydrological behaviour of the Rhone River and its tributaries at Lyon (France). We identify changes during the late-twentieth century based on observations and characterise potential impacts of climatic changes on river response by the end of the century. Different scenarios of the latest generation of IPCC AR5 CMIP5 and hydrological modelling were used and included two scenarios for future outlet discharge of Lake Geneva (Switzerland). We show that discharges in the Rhone basin are likely to decrease significantly by the end of the century and that the seasonality of run-off will change substantially as well. In addition, projections point to smaller discharge during low flows, but higher low flows in its sub-basins. Regarding floods, high flows exhibit a general tendency to decrease, whereas potential upwards can be observed for the more extreme floods (less frequent). The approach reported in this paper will help to reflect on the governance modalities of a transboundary river such as the Rhone, especially when water management depends on concession contracts, which are usually granted for several decades and typically last between 60 and 90 years. es_ES
dc.description.sponsorship This work has been realised within the GOU-VRHONE-hydropower and the regulation of the Rhone River in a context of climate change and electricity liberalisation project and was funded by the French Ministry of Ecology, the French Water Agency Rhone Mediterranee and Corse, the Swiss Federal Office for the Environment, the cantons of Geneva and Vaud, the Services Industriels de Geneve and Electricite de France. The authors acknowledge the substantial support and feedback of Christophe Corona, Samuel Morin, Xavier Rodriguez Lloveras, Mario Rohrer and Annina Sorg. en_EN
dc.language Inglés es_ES
dc.publisher Springer Verlag (Germany) es_ES
dc.relation French Ministry of Ecology es_ES
dc.relation French Water Agency Rhone Mediterranee and Corse es_ES
dc.relation Swiss Federal Office for the Environment es_ES
dc.relation Canton of Geneva es_ES
dc.relation Canton of Vaud es_ES
dc.relation Services Industriels de Geneve and Electricite de France es_ES
dc.relation.ispartof Regional Environmental Change es_ES
dc.rights Reserva de todos los derechos es_ES
dc.subject Climate change es_ES
dc.subject Water resources es_ES
dc.subject Floods es_ES
dc.subject Droughts es_ES
dc.subject River management es_ES
dc.subject Rhone River es_ES
dc.subject.classification INGENIERIA HIDRAULICA es_ES
dc.title Climate change impacts on discharges of the Rhone River in Lyon by the end of the twenty-first century: model results and implications es_ES
dc.type Artículo es_ES
dc.identifier.doi 10.1007/s10113-014-0707-8
dc.rights.accessRights Cerrado es_ES
dc.contributor.affiliation Universitat Politècnica de València. Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros de Caminos, Canales y Puertos - Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyers de Camins, Canals i Ports es_ES
dc.description.bibliographicCitation Ruiz-Villanueva, V.; Stoffel, M.; Bussi, G.; Francés, F.; Bréthaut, C. (2015). Climate change impacts on discharges of the Rhone River in Lyon by the end of the twenty-first century: model results and implications. Regional Environmental Change. 15(3):505-515. doi:10.1007/s10113-014-0707-8 es_ES
dc.description.accrualMethod S es_ES
dc.relation.publisherversion http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-014-0707-8 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpinicio 505 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpfin 515 es_ES
dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion es_ES
dc.description.volume 15 es_ES
dc.description.issue 3 es_ES
dc.relation.senia 277878 es_ES
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