- -

Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers - a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer

RiuNet: Institutional repository of the Polithecnic University of Valencia

Share/Send to

Cited by

Statistics

Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers - a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer

Show full item record

Pulido Velázquez, D.; Renau-Pruñonosa, A.; Llopis Albert, C.; Morell, I.; Collados-Lara, A.; Senent-Aparicio, J.; Leticia Baena-Ruiz (2018). Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers - a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer. HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES. 22(5):3053-3074. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018

Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem: http://hdl.handle.net/10251/123259

Files in this item

Item Metadata

Title: Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers - a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer
Author:
UPV Unit: Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica y de Materiales - Departament d'Enginyeria Mecànica i de Materials
Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Ingeniería Hidráulica y Medio Ambiente - Departament d'Enginyeria Hidràulica i Medi Ambient
Issued date:
Abstract:
[EN] Any change in the components of the water balance in a coastal aquifer, whether natural or anthropogenic, can alter the freshwater-salt water equilibrium. In this sense climate change (CC) and land use and land cover ...[+]
Copyrigths: Reconocimiento (by)
Source:
HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES. (issn: 1027-5606 )
DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018
Publisher:
EUROPEAN GEOSCIENCES UNION
Publisher version: http://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018
Thanks:
This research work has been partially supported by the GESINHIMPADAPT project (CGL2013-48424-C2-2-R) with Spanish MINECO funds, the PMAFI/06/14 project with UCAM funds and the Plan de Garantia Juvenil from MINECO, co-financing ...[+]
Type: Artículo

References

Alcalá, F. J. and Custodio, E.: Spatial average aquifer recharge through atmospheric ride mass balance and its uncertainty in continental Spain, Hydrol. Process, 28, 218–236, 2014.

Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M.: Crop evapotranspiration – Guidelines for computing crop water requirements, FAO Irrigation and drainage paper 56, FAO, Rome, http://www.fao.org/docrep/X0490E/x0490e00.htm (last access: May 2018), 1998.

Arora, V. K.: The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff, J. Hydrol., 265, 164–177, 2002. [+]
Alcalá, F. J. and Custodio, E.: Spatial average aquifer recharge through atmospheric ride mass balance and its uncertainty in continental Spain, Hydrol. Process, 28, 218–236, 2014.

Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M.: Crop evapotranspiration – Guidelines for computing crop water requirements, FAO Irrigation and drainage paper 56, FAO, Rome, http://www.fao.org/docrep/X0490E/x0490e00.htm (last access: May 2018), 1998.

Arora, V. K.: The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff, J. Hydrol., 265, 164–177, 2002.

Arslan, H. and Demir, Y.: Impacts of seawater intrusion on soil salinity and alkalinity in Bafra Plain, Turkey, Environ. Monit. Assess., 185, 1027–1040, 2013.

Baena-Ruiz, L., Pulido-Velazquez, D., Collados-Lara, A. J., Renau-Pruñonosa, A., and Morell, I.: Global assessment of seawater intrusion problems (status and vulnerability), Water Resour. Manage., 32, 2681–2700, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-018-1952-2, 2018.

Benini, L., Antonellini, M., Laghi, M., and Mollema, P. N.: Assessment of Water Resources Availability and Groundwater Salinization in Future Climate and Land use Change Scenarios: A Case Study from a Coastal Drainage Basin in Italy, Water Resour. Manage., 30, 731–745, 2016.

Brunet, M., Casado, M. J., de Castro, M., Galán, P., López, J. A., Martín, J. M., Pastor, A., Petisco, E., Ramos, P., Ribalaygua, J., Rodríguez, E., Sanz, I., and Torres, L.: Generación de escenarios regionalizados de cambio climático para España, Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Medio Rural y Marino; Agencia Estatal de Meteorología, Madrid, 158 pp., 2009.

Budyko, M. I.: Climate and Life, Academic Press, New York, 508 pp., 1974.

Chang, S., Clement, T. P., Simpson, M., and Lee, K.: Does sea-level rise have an impact on saltwater intrusion?, Adv. Water Resour., 34, 1283–1291, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2011.06.006, 2011.

CHJ – Júcar Water Agency: Júcar River Basin Plan, Demarcación hidrográfica del Júcar, Confederación Hidrográfica del Júcar, Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Environment, Madrid, Spain, 2015.

Church, J. A., Clark, P. U., Cazenave, A., Gregory, J. M., Jevrejeva, S., Levermann, A., Merrifield, M. A., Milne, G. A., Nerem, R. S., Nunn, P. D., Payne, A. J., Pfeffer, W. T., Stammer, D., and Unnikrishnan, A. S.: Sea Level Change, in: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 2013.

Control networks of the Júcar River Basin Authority: https://www.chj.es/es-es/medioambiente/redescontrol/Paginas/RedesdeControl.aspx/, last access: 28 May 2018.

CORDEX PROJECT: The Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment CORDEX, Program sponsored by World Climate Research Program (WCRP), available at: http://wcrp-cordex.ipsl.jussieu.fr/ (last access: 4 May 2017), 2013.

CORDEX Regional Data Portals: http://www.cordex.org/data-access/regional-data-portals/, last access: 28 May 2018.

Coutagne, A.: Quelques considérations sur le pouvoir évaporant de l'atmosphere, le déficit d'écoulement effectif et le déficit d'écoulement maximum, La Houille Blanche, 3, 360–374, https://doi.org/10.1051/lhb/1954036, 1954.

Custodio, E.: Coastal Aquifers of Europe: an overview, Hydrogeol. J., 18, 269–280, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-009-0496-1 2010.

Doulgeris, C. and Zissis, T.: 3D variable density flow simulation to evaluate dumping schemes in coastal aquifers, Water Resour. Manage., 28, 4943–4956, 2014.

Dragoni, W. and Sukhija, B.S.: Climate change and groundwater: a short review, Geol. Soc. Lond. Spec. Publ., 288, 1–12, 2008.

EEA – European Environment Agency: Global and European sea-level rise, http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/indicators/sea-level-rise-2/assessment (last access: 4 May 2017), 2014.

Escriva-Bou, A., Pulido-Velazquez, M., and Pulido-Velazquez, D.: The Economic Value of Adaptive Strategies to Global Change for Water Management in Spain's Jucar Basin, J. Water Resour. Pl. Manage., 143, 04017005, https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000735, 2016.

España, S., Alcalá, F. J., Vallejos, A., and Pulido-Bosch, A.: A GIS tool for modelling annual diffuse infiltration on a plot scale, Comput. Geosci., 54, 318–325, 2013.

Feranec, J., Hazeu, G., Soukup, T., and Jaffrain, G.: Determining changes and flows in European landscapes 1990–2000 using CORINE land cover data, Appl. Geogr., 30, 19–35, 2010.

Fujinawa, K.: Anthroscape of the Mediterranean Coastal Area in the Context of Hydrogeology: Projected Impacts of Climate Change, in: Sustainable Land Management, edited by: Kapur, S., Eswaran, H., and Blum, W., Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 311–332, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-14782-1_14, 2011.

Gerrits, A. M. J., Savenije, H. H. G., Veling, E. J. M., and Pfister, L.: Analytical derivation of the Budyko curve based on rainfall characteristics and a simple evaporation model, Water Resour. Res., 45, W04403, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008WR007308, 2009.

Gómez-Hernández, J. J., and Journel, A. G.: Joint simulation of MultiGaussian random variables, Geostatistics tróia∼92, edited by: Soares, A., in: Vol. 1, Kluwer, Dordrecht, the Netherlands, 85–94, 1993.

Gómez-Hernández, J. J. and Srivastava, R. M.: ISIM3D: An ANSI-C three dimensional multiple indicator conditional simulation program, Comput. Geosci., 16, 395–440, 1990.

Gorelick, S. M. and Zheng, C.: Global change and the groundwater management challenge, Water Resour. Res., 51, 3031–3051, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR016825, 2015.

Green, T. R., Taniguchi, M., Kooi, H., Gurdak, J. J., Allen, D. M., Hiscock, K. M., Treidel, H., and Aureli, A.: Beneath the surface of global change: impacts of climate change on groundwater, J. Hydrol., 405, 532–560, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.05.002, 2011.

Grundmann, J., Schutze, N., and Schmitz, G. H.: Towards an integrated arid zone water management using simulation-based optimisation, Environ. Earth Sci., 65, 1381–1394, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-011-1253-z, 2012.

Guo, F., Jiang, G., Polk, J. S., Huang, X. F., and Huang, S. Y.: Resilience of Groundwater Impacted by Land Use and Climate Change in a Karst Aquifer, South China, Water Environ. Res., 87, 1990–1998, 2015.

Guo, W. and Langevin, C. D.: User's guide to SEAWAT: a computer program for simulation of three-dimensional variable-density groundwater flow, Report No. US Geol. Surv. Open File 01-434, US Geological Survey, Tallahassee, Florida, 2002.

Haerter, J. O., Hagemann, S., Moseley, C., and Piani, C.: Climate model bias correction and the role of timescales, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1065–1079, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1065-2011, 2011.

Herrera, S., Fernández, J., and Gutiérrez, J. M.: Update of the Spain02 Gridded Observational Dataset for Euro-CORDEX evaluation: Assessing the Effect of the Interpolation Methodology, Int. J. Climatol., 36, 900–908, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4391, 2016.

Ketabchi, H., Mahmoodzadeh, D., Ataie-Ashtiani, B., and Simmons, C. T.: Sea-level rise impacts on seawater intrusion in coastal aquifers. Review and integration, J. Hydrol., 535, 235–255, 2016.

Kirn, L., Mudarra, M., Marín, A., Andreo, B., and Hartmann, A.: Improved Assessment of Groundwater Recharge in a Mediterranean Karst Region: Andalusia, Spain, in: Renard P. and Bertrand, C., in: EuroKarst 2016, Neuchâtel, Advances in Karst Science, Springer, Cham, 117–125, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-45465-8_13, 2017.

Llopis-Albert, C. and Capilla, J. E.: Stochastic inverse modelling of hydraulic conductivity fields taking into account independent stochastic structures: A 3D case study, J. Hydrol., 391, 277–288, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.028, 2010.

Llopis-Albert, C. and Pulido-Velazquez, D.: Discussion about the validity of sharp-interface models to deal with seawater intrusion in coastal aquifers, Hydrol. Process., 28, 3642–3654, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9908, 2014.

Llopis-Albert, C. and Pulido-Velazquez, D.: Using MODFLOW code to approach transient hydraulic head with a sharp-interface solution, Hydrol. Process., 29, 2052–2064, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10354, 2015.

Llopis-Albert, C., Merigó, J. M., and Xu, Y.: A coupled stochastic inverse/sharp interface seawater intrusion approach for coastal aquifers under groundwater parameter uncertainty, J. Hydrol., 540, 774–783, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.06.065, 2016.

Mantoglou, A., Papantoniou, M., and Giannoulopoulos, P.: Management of coastal aquifers based on nonlinear optimization and evolutionary algorithms, J. Hydrol., 297, 209–228, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.04.011, 2004.

Martínez-Valderrama, J., Ibáñez, J., Del Barrio, G., Sanjuán, M. E., Alcalá, F. J., Martínez-Vicente, S., Ruiz, A., and Puigdefábregas, J.: Present and future of desertification in Spain: implementation of a surveillance system to prevent land degradation, Sci. Total Environ., 563–564, 169–178, 2016.

Matott, L. S., Babendreier, J. E., and Purucker, S. T.: Evaluating uncertainty in integrated environmental models: a review of concepts and tools, Water Resour. Res., 45, W06421, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008WR007301, 2009.

McDonald, M. G. and Harbough, A. W.: A Modular Three-Dimensional Finite-Difference Groundwater Flow Model, US Geological Survey Technical Manual of Water Resources Investigation, Book 6, US Geological Survey, Reston, VA, p. 586, 1988.

Molina, J. L., Pulido-Velázquez, D., García-Aróstegui, J. L., and Pulido-Velázquez, M.: Dynamic Bayesian Networks as a Decision Support tool for assessing Climate Change impacts on highly stressed groundwater systems, J. Hydrol., 479, 113–129, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.038, 2013.

Morell, I. and Giménez, E.: Hydrogeochemical analysis of salinization processes in the coastal aquifer of Oropesa (Castellón, Spain), Environ. Geol., 29, 118–131, 1997.

Naji, A., Cheng, A. D., and Quazar, D.: BEM solution of stochastic seawater intrusion problems, Eng. Anal. Bound. Elements, 23, 529–537, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0955-7997(99)00012-0, 1999.

PGOU Torreblanca: Plan General de Ordenación Urbana de Torreblanca, Ayuntamiento de Torreblanca, Torreblanca, 2009.

Pulido-Velazquez, D., Garrote, L., Andreu, J., Martin-Carrasco, F. J., and Iglesias, A.: A methodology to diagnose the effect of climate change and to identify adaptive strategies to reduce its impacts in conjunctive-use systems at basin scale, J. Hydrol., 405, 110–122, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.05.014, 2011.

Pulido-Velazquez, D., García-Aróstegui, J. L., Molina, J. L., and Pulido-Velázquez, M.: Assessment of future groundwater recharge in semi-arid regions under climate change scenarios (Serral-Salinas aquifer, SE Spain). Could increased rainfall variability increase the recharge rate?, Hydrol. Process., 29, 828–844, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10191, 2014.

Pulido-Velazquez, D., Collados-Lara, A.-J., and Alcalá, F. J.: Assessing impacts of future potential climate change scenarios on aquifer recharge in continental Spain, J. Hydrol., https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.10.077, in press, 2017.

Pulido-Velazquez, M., Peña-Haro, S., García-Prats, A., Mocholi-Almudever, A. F., Henriquez-Dole, L., Macian-Sorribes, H., and Lopez-Nicolas, A.: Integrated assessment of the impact of climate and land use changes on groundwater quantity and quality in the Mancha Oriental system (Spain), Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1677–1693, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1677-2015, 2015.

Räisänen, J. and Räty, O.: Projections of daily mean temperature variability in the future: cross-validation tests with ENSEMBLES regional climate simulations, Clim. Dynam., 41, 1553–1568, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1515-9, 2013.

Rasmussen, P., Sonnenborg, T. O., Goncear, G., and Hinsby, K.: Assessing impacts of climate change, SLR, and drainage canals on saltwater intrusion to coastal aquifer, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 421–443, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-421-2013, 2013.

Renau-Pruñonosa, A., Morell, I., and Pulido-Velazquez, D.: A methodology to analyse and assess pumping management strategies in coastal aquifers to avoid degradation due to seawater intrusion problems, Water Resour. Manage., 30, 4823–4837, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1455-y, 2016.

Robins, N. S., Jones, H. K., and Ellis, J.: An aquifer management case study – The Chalk of the English South Downs, Water Resour. Manage., 13, 205–218, 1999.

Rosenthal, E., Vinokurov, A., Ronen D., Magaritz M., and Moshkovitz, S.: Anthropogenically induced salinization of groundwater: A case study from the Coastal Plain aquifer of Israel, J. Contam. Hydrol., 11, 149–171, 1992.

Roth, G. D.: Meteorología, Formaciones nubosas y otros fenómenos meteorológicos, Situaciones meteorológicas generales, Pronósticos del tiempo Barcelona, Ediciones Omega, Barcelona, Spain, p. 301, 2003.

Shammas, M. I. and Thunvik, R.: Predictive simulation of flow and solute transport for managing the Salalah coastal aquifer, Oman, Water Resour. Manage., 23, 2941, 2009.

Sola, F., Vallejos, A., Moreno, L., López-Geta, J. A., and Pulido-Bosch, A.: Identification of hydrogeochemical process linked to marine intrusion induced by pumping of a semi-confined Mediterranean coastal aquifer, Int. J. Environ. Sci. Technol., 10, 63–76, 2013.

Spain02: A set of gridded precipitation and temperature datasets: http://www.meteo.unican.es/datasets/spain02/, last access: 28 May 2018.

Sreekanth, J. and Datta, B.: Multi-objective management of saltwater intrusion in coastal aquifers using genetic programming and modular neural network based surrogate models, J. Hydrol., 39, 245–256, 2010.

Tuñon, J.: Determinación experimental del balance hídrico del suelo y evaluación de la contaminación asociada a las prácticas agrícolas, PhD Thesis, Universitat Jaume I de Castellón, Castellón, Spain, 2000.

Turc, L.: Water balance of soils: relationship between precipitation, evapotranspiration and runoff, Ann. Agron., 5, 49–595 and 6, 5–131, 1954.

Turc, L.: Estimation of irrigation water requirements, potential evapotranspiration: A simple climatic formula evolved up to date, Ann. Agron. 12, 13—49, 1961.

Unsal, B., Yagbasan, O., and Yazicigil, H.: Assessing the impacts of climate change on sustainable management of coastal aquifers, Environ. Earth Sci., 72, 2183–2193, 2014.

Vallejos, A., Sola, F., and Pulido-Bosch, A.: Processes Influencing Groundwater Level and the Freshwater-Saltwater Interface in a Coastal Aquifer, Water Resour. Manage., 29, 679–697, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0621-3, 2015.

Watanabe, S., Kanae, S., Seto, S., Yeh, P. J.-F., Hirabayashi, Y., and Oki, T.: Intercomparison of bias-correction methods for monthly temperature and precipitation simulated by multiple climate models, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D23114, https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018192, 2012.

Werner, A. D. and Simmons, C. T.: Impact of sea-level rise on sea water intrusion in coastal aquifers, Ground Water, 47, 197–204, 2009.

Yechieli, Y. and Sivan, O.: The distribution of saline groundwater and its relation to the hydraulic conditions of aquifers and aquitards: example from Israel, Hydrogeol. J., 19, 71–87, 2011.

Yechieli, Y., Shalev, E., Wollman, S., Kiro, Y., and Kafri, U.: Response of the Mediterranean and Dead Sea coastal aquifers to sea level variations, Water Resour. Res., 46, W12550, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009WR008708, 2010.

Zheng, C. and Wang, P.: MT3DMS: A Modular Three-Dimensional Multispecies Transport Model for Simulation of Advection, Dispersion and Chemical Reactions of Contaminants in Groundwater Systems, Documentation and User's Guide, Alabama University, Tuscaloosa, Alabama, 1999.

[-]

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show full item record