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Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers - a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer

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Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers - a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer

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dc.contributor.author Pulido Velázquez, David es_ES
dc.contributor.author Renau-Pruñonosa, A. es_ES
dc.contributor.author Llopis Albert, Carlos es_ES
dc.contributor.author Morell, Ignacio es_ES
dc.contributor.author Collados-Lara, A.J. es_ES
dc.contributor.author Senent-Aparicio, J. es_ES
dc.contributor.author Leticia Baena-Ruiz es_ES
dc.date.accessioned 2019-07-06T20:02:13Z
dc.date.available 2019-07-06T20:02:13Z
dc.date.issued 2018 es_ES
dc.identifier.issn 1027-5606 es_ES
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10251/123259
dc.description.abstract [EN] Any change in the components of the water balance in a coastal aquifer, whether natural or anthropogenic, can alter the freshwater-salt water equilibrium. In this sense climate change (CC) and land use and land cover (LULC) change might significantly influence the availability of groundwater resources in the future. These coastal systems demand an integrated analysis of quantity and quality issues to obtain an appropriate assessment of hydrological impacts using density-dependent flow solutions. The aim of this work is to perform an integrated analysis of future potential global change (GC) scenarios and their hydrological impacts in a coastal aquifer, the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer. It is a Mediterranean aquifer that extends over 75 km(2) in which important historical LULC changes have been produced and are planned for the future. Future CC scenarios will be defined by using an equi-feasible and non-feasible ensemble of projections based on the results of a multi-criteria analysis of the series generated from several regional climatic models with different downscaling approaches. The hydrological impacts of these CC scenarios combined with future LULC scenarios will be assessed with a chain of models defined by a sequential coupling of rainfall-recharge models, crop irrigation requirements and irrigation return models (for the aquifer and its neighbours that feed it), and a density-dependent aquifer approach. This chain of models, calibrated using the available historical data, allow testing of the conceptual approximation of the aquifer behaviour. They are also fed with series representatives of potential global change scenarios in order to perform a sensitivity analysis regarding future scenarios of rainfall recharge, lateral flows coming from the hydraulically connected neighbouring aquifer, agricultural recharge (taking into account expected future LULC changes) and sea level rise (SLR). The proposed analysis is valuable for improving our knowledge about the aquifer, and so comprises a tool to design sustainable adaptation management strategies taking into account the uncertainty in future GC conditions and their impacts. The results show that GC scenarios produce significant increases in the variability of flow budget components and in the salinity. es_ES
dc.description.sponsorship This research work has been partially supported by the GESINHIMPADAPT project (CGL2013-48424-C2-2-R) with Spanish MINECO funds, the PMAFI/06/14 project with UCAM funds and the Plan de Garantia Juvenil from MINECO, co-financing by BEI and FSE. We would like to thank the Spain02 (AEMET and UC) and CORDEX projects and the Jucar Water Agency (CHJ) for the data provided for this study. We appreciate the valuable comments and suggestions provided by the editor and two anonymous referees. es_ES
dc.language Inglés es_ES
dc.publisher EUROPEAN GEOSCIENCES UNION es_ES
dc.relation.ispartof HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES es_ES
dc.rights Reconocimiento (by) es_ES
dc.subject.classification INGENIERIA MECANICA es_ES
dc.title Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers - a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer es_ES
dc.type Artículo es_ES
dc.identifier.doi 10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018 es_ES
dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MINECO//CGL2013-48424-C2-2-R/ES/GENERACION SIMULACION E INTEGRACION DE ESCENARIOS HIDROLOGICOS FUTUROS EN EL ANALISIS DE IMPACTOS Y ESTRATEGIAS DE ADAPTACION AL CAMBIO GLOBAL EN SISTEMAS DE RECURSOS HIDRICOS/ es_ES
dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/UCAM//PMAFI%2F06%2F14/
dc.rights.accessRights Abierto es_ES
dc.contributor.affiliation Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica y de Materiales - Departament d'Enginyeria Mecànica i de Materials es_ES
dc.contributor.affiliation Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Ingeniería Hidráulica y Medio Ambiente - Departament d'Enginyeria Hidràulica i Medi Ambient es_ES
dc.description.bibliographicCitation Pulido Velázquez, D.; Renau-Pruñonosa, A.; Llopis Albert, C.; Morell, I.; Collados-Lara, A.; Senent-Aparicio, J.; Leticia Baena-Ruiz (2018). Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers - a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer. HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES. 22(5):3053-3074. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018 es_ES
dc.description.accrualMethod S es_ES
dc.relation.publisherversion http://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpinicio 3053 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpfin 3074 es_ES
dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion es_ES
dc.description.volume 22 es_ES
dc.description.issue 5 es_ES
dc.relation.pasarela S\367260 es_ES
dc.contributor.funder Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad es_ES
dc.contributor.funder Universidad Católica San Antonio de Murcia
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