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Multivariate Control Chart and Lee-Carter Models to Study Mortality Changes

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Multivariate Control Chart and Lee-Carter Models to Study Mortality Changes

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dc.contributor.author Diaz-Rojo, Gisou es_ES
dc.contributor.author Debón Aucejo, Ana María es_ES
dc.contributor.author Mosquera, Jaime es_ES
dc.date.accessioned 2021-02-24T04:32:17Z
dc.date.available 2021-02-24T04:32:17Z
dc.date.issued 2020-11 es_ES
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10251/162259
dc.description.abstract [EN] The mortality structure of a population usually reflects the economic and social development of the country. The purpose of this study was to identify moments in time and age intervals at which the observed probability of death is substantially different from the pattern of mortality for a studied period. Therefore, a mortality model was fitted to decompose the historical pattern of mortality. The model residuals were monitored by the T-2 multivariate control chart to detect substantial changes in mortality that were not identified by the model. The abridged life tables for Colombia in the period 1973-2005 were used as a case study. The Lee-Carter model collects information regarding violence in Colombia. Therefore, the years identified as out-of-control in the charts are associated with very early or quite advanced ages of death and are inversely related to the violence that did not claim as many victims at those ages. The mortality changes identified in the control charts pertain to changes in the population's health conditions or new causes of death such as COVID-19 in the coming years. The proposed methodology is generalizable to other countries, especially developing countries. es_ES
dc.description.sponsorship This research received external funding from the Universitat Politecnica de Valencia (UPV) and the Universidad del Tolima (UT) to cover translation and publication costs. es_ES
dc.language Inglés es_ES
dc.publisher MDPI AG es_ES
dc.relation.ispartof Mathematics es_ES
dc.rights Reconocimiento (by) es_ES
dc.subject Lee-Carter model es_ES
dc.subject Life table es_ES
dc.subject Multivariate control charts es_ES
dc.subject T2 control chart es_ES
dc.subject MTY decomposition es_ES
dc.subject.classification ESTADISTICA E INVESTIGACION OPERATIVA es_ES
dc.title Multivariate Control Chart and Lee-Carter Models to Study Mortality Changes es_ES
dc.type Artículo es_ES
dc.identifier.doi 10.3390/math8112093 es_ES
dc.relation.projectID info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MINECO//MTM2013-45381-P/ES/DIFERENCIAS DE LONGEVIDAD EN LA UNION EUROPEA: APLICACION DE NUEVOS METODOS PARA SU EVALUACION Y ANALISIS/ es_ES
dc.rights.accessRights Abierto es_ES
dc.contributor.affiliation Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa Aplicadas y Calidad - Departament d'Estadística i Investigació Operativa Aplicades i Qualitat es_ES
dc.description.bibliographicCitation Diaz-Rojo, G.; Debón Aucejo, AM.; Mosquera, J. (2020). Multivariate Control Chart and Lee-Carter Models to Study Mortality Changes. Mathematics. 8(11):1-17. https://doi.org/10.3390/math8112093 es_ES
dc.description.accrualMethod S es_ES
dc.relation.publisherversion https://doi.org/10.3390/math8112093 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpinicio 1 es_ES
dc.description.upvformatpfin 17 es_ES
dc.type.version info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion es_ES
dc.description.volume 8 es_ES
dc.description.issue 11 es_ES
dc.identifier.eissn 2227-7390 es_ES
dc.relation.pasarela S\422496 es_ES
dc.contributor.funder Universidad del Tolima es_ES
dc.contributor.funder Universitat Politècnica de València es_ES
dc.contributor.funder Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad es_ES
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dc.subject.ods 03.- Garantizar una vida saludable y promover el bienestar para todos y todas en todas las edades es_ES


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