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Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

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Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

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Avilés, A.; Célleri-Alvear, R.; Paredes Arquiola, J.; Solera Solera, A. (2015). Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS. Water Resources Management. 29(6):1949-1963. doi:10.1007/s11269-015-0921-2

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Title: Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS
Author: Avilés, Alex Célleri-Alvear, Rolando Paredes Arquiola, Javier Solera Solera, Abel
UPV Unit: Universitat Politècnica de València. Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros de Caminos, Canales y Puertos - Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyers de Camins, Canals i Ports
Issued date:
Abstract:
On behalf of the decision-makers of Andean regulated river basins a drought index was developed to predict the occurrence and extent of drought events. Two stochastic models, the Markov Chain First Order (MCFO) and the ...[+]
Subjects: Drought index , Probabilistic forecast , Markov Chains , Forecast evaluation , Andean basins
Copyrigths: Cerrado
Source:
Water Resources Management. (issn: 0920-4741 )
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-015-0921-2
Publisher:
Springer Verlag (Germany)
Publisher version: http://www.dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-0921-2
Thanks:
The research was conducted within the frame of the projects "Meteorological Cycles and Evapotranspiration along the Altitudinal Gradient of the Cajas National Park" and "Identification of hydro-meteorological processes ...[+]
Type: Artículo

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