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Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

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Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

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Avilés, A.; Célleri-Alvear, R.; Paredes Arquiola, J.; Solera Solera, A. (2015). Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS. Water Resources Management. 29(6):1949-1963. doi:10.1007/s11269-015-0921-2.

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Título: Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS
Autor:
Entidad UPV: Universitat Politècnica de València. Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros de Caminos, Canales y Puertos - Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyers de Camins, Canals i Ports
Fecha difusión:
Resumen:
On behalf of the decision-makers of Andean regulated river basins a drought index was developed to predict the occurrence and extent of drought events. Two stochastic models, the Markov Chain First Order (MCFO) and the ...[+]
Palabras clave: Drought index , Probabilistic forecast , Markov Chains , Forecast evaluation , Andean basins
Derechos de uso: Cerrado
Fuente:
Water Resources Management. (issn: 0920-4741 )
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-015-0921-2
Editorial:
Springer Verlag (Germany)
Versión del editor: http://www.dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-0921-2
Patrocinador:
Projects: “Meteorological Cycles and Evapotranspiration along the Altitudinal Gradient of the Cajas National Park” and “Identification of hydro-meteorological processes that trigger extreme floods in the city of Cuenca using precipitation radar”
Both projects were funded by the University of Cuenca and the Public Municipal Company of Water Supply from Cuenca (ETAPA)
Tipo: Artículo

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