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Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

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Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

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Avilés, A.; Célleri-Alvear, R.; Paredes Arquiola, J.; Solera Solera, A. (2015). Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS. Water Resources Management. 29(6):1949-1963. doi:10.1007/s11269-015-0921-2

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Título: Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS
Autor: Avilés, Alex Célleri-Alvear, Rolando Paredes Arquiola, Javier Solera Solera, Abel
Entidad UPV: Universitat Politècnica de València. Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros de Caminos, Canales y Puertos - Escola Tècnica Superior d'Enginyers de Camins, Canals i Ports
Fecha difusión:
Resumen:
On behalf of the decision-makers of Andean regulated river basins a drought index was developed to predict the occurrence and extent of drought events. Two stochastic models, the Markov Chain First Order (MCFO) and the ...[+]
Palabras clave: Drought index , Probabilistic forecast , Markov Chains , Forecast evaluation , Andean basins
Derechos de uso: Cerrado
Fuente:
Water Resources Management. (issn: 0920-4741 )
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-015-0921-2
Editorial:
Springer Verlag (Germany)
Versión del editor: http://www.dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-0921-2
Agradecimientos:
The research was conducted within the frame of the projects "Meteorological Cycles and Evapotranspiration along the Altitudinal Gradient of the Cajas National Park" and "Identification of hydro-meteorological processes ...[+]
Tipo: Artículo

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